Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 3.323894 3.721935 4.153243 4.656051 5.227028 5.856310 6.603820
2024-10-13 2.733901 3.259493 3.869637 4.633022 5.566413 6.675348 8.099812
2024-10-20 2.342906 2.927340 3.641834 4.585169 5.806128 7.344160 9.445828
2024-10-27 1.977435 2.562882 3.308309 4.335357 5.726612 7.564056 10.204992
2024-11-03 1.791054 2.397467 3.197859 4.343376 5.959949 8.188477 11.543066
2024-11-10 1.674720 2.307921 3.171301 4.450523 6.324881 9.013227 13.238288
2024-11-17 1.553590 2.196804 3.099519 4.479057 6.569816 9.678055 14.759070
2024-11-24 1.449427 2.098248 3.033222 4.503376 6.802283 10.336212 16.330652
2024-12-01 1.357637 2.008435 2.969471 4.521202 7.019715 10.983229 17.945955
2024-12-08 1.247486 1.881193 2.837492 4.418472 7.031635 11.296081 19.028932
2024-12-15 1.169168 1.796106 2.762295 4.396821 7.168682 11.819954 20.523461
2024-12-22 1.094039 1.709926 2.677859 4.350988 7.257543 12.264927 21.918730
2024-12-29 1.070810 1.706779 2.728853 4.539699 7.773996 13.518286 24.984397
2025-01-05 1.011043 1.639290 2.668837 4.532824 7.944423 14.169243 26.985444
2025-01-12 0.950301 1.565548 2.592329 4.489431 8.042538 14.693184 28.795991
2025-01-19 0.861054 1.437090 2.412870 4.246037 7.745181 14.434652 28.972121
2025-01-26 0.820918 1.390806 2.372934 4.254019 7.924796 15.117726 31.206231
2025-02-02 0.798900 1.374664 2.384783 4.358761 8.300702 16.227648 34.505396
2025-02-09 0.767055 1.338637 2.357871 4.386652 8.524840 17.047786 37.262522
2025-02-16 0.736955 1.303700 2.330291 4.410418 8.741596 17.872457 40.136927
2025-02-23 0.708136 1.269192 2.300952 4.427838 8.945714 18.688964 43.099504
2025-03-02 0.666451 1.207950 2.216767 4.327449 8.889055 18.922607 44.662334
2025-03-09 0.637476 1.169052 2.172942 4.306290 9.001559 19.546708 47.287176